Iran has the backing of China and Russia. Engaging Iran means we piss both of them off.
Are we poised to make this sort of move at this point.
Fuck no.
Miss him now?
They'll be pissed regardless.
Do you think they would engage our military? I don't. China and Russia don't want a nuclear Middle East either. We're all in the same boat, desperate for the oil and therefore the stability. Additionally China and Russia are much closer geographically and have separatist/terrorist issues all their own, where some of that nuclear material could end up. I see them as bitching and moaning and upping their arms sales, not much else.
What makes this issue hard to contemplate is the behind the scenes involvement.
Everyone is in communication with each other, we only get to see what we get to see in the media. There's always more to the story.
The other issue that I alluded to is - who supports us? And Israel? If we engage, who backs us? if it's just us and Israel, we're fucked right out of the gate -that gives Russia and China a whole lot of latitude to work with. If it's us, most of Europe, Canada, Australia and the rest of the other western contingency, then yeah - we have a shot.
You think those camps will side with us after this Iraq clusterfuck? And in this economy that's hitting us all?